LOS ANGELES – A new survey suggests that the Scottish National Party has lost its way as the Scottish Labor Party (SNP) is on track to win the Scottish parliament in the coming months.
The new YouGov survey, released on Tuesday, found that 47% of people believe that the SNP is on the wrong track to a majority and 44% believe it has the best chance of forming a majority in parliament.
The Scottish Greens have gained 11 points, taking the share of the vote from the Scottish Labour Party (SSP) to 10%.
Labour’s vote has fallen by 3 points since April, while the SNP’s vote fell by 4 points.
This is the first time since the 1970s that the number of people saying that the Labour Party is on its way to a victory has increased, according to the YouGov poll.
“There are a number of things that are driving this decline in confidence,” said Professor Michael Cunliffe, head of political science at Queen Mary University of London.
“One is the lack of a coherent strategy for winning the election and two, the continued lack of policy detail.”
The SNP is clearly on the right track but it is clear that they are not quite on the same level as the SSP, who is doing much better.
“That is where the problem lies, particularly given the SNP leadership’s emphasis on policy and their focus on independence and not Brexit,” he said.
YouGov surveyed a representative sample of 2,000 adults in Scotland between May 12 and 20.
The survey was conducted via landlines and cellphones.
The results are weighted to reflect age, gender, education, income and employment status.
The results for the latest Scottish poll are below.